Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.020821 0.022458 0.024163 0.026072 0.028151 0.030350 0.032852
2025-11-16 0.017841 0.020150 0.022680 0.025664 0.029095 0.032926 0.037538
2025-11-23 0.016044 0.018747 0.021824 0.025598 0.030119 0.035380 0.041998
2025-11-30 0.014640 0.017579 0.021028 0.025395 0.030804 0.037319 0.045816
2025-12-07 0.013554 0.016657 0.020396 0.025258 0.031458 0.039153 0.049513
2025-12-14 0.012621 0.015829 0.019783 0.025051 0.031943 0.040729 0.052900
2025-12-21 0.011936 0.015250 0.019420 0.025101 0.032711 0.042657 0.056807
2025-12-28 0.011257 0.014625 0.018945 0.024948 0.033166 0.044153 0.060175
2026-01-04 0.010701 0.014121 0.018585 0.024908 0.033741 0.045807 0.063821
2026-01-11 0.010254 0.013731 0.018347 0.025002 0.034482 0.047702 0.067888
2026-01-18 0.009828 0.013343 0.018082 0.025031 0.035113 0.049450 0.071818
2026-01-25 0.009452 0.013001 0.017858 0.025094 0.035779 0.051263 0.075925
2026-02-01 0.008916 0.012425 0.017298 0.024675 0.035764 0.052140 0.078779
2026-02-08 0.008413 0.011872 0.016747 0.024242 0.035705 0.052952 0.081594
2026-02-15 0.008057 0.011514 0.016455 0.024172 0.036182 0.054592 0.085815
2026-02-22 0.007696 0.011127 0.016099 0.023981 0.036447 0.055903 0.089566
2026-03-01 0.007379 0.010791 0.015799 0.023852 0.036795 0.057347 0.093614
2026-03-08 0.007068 0.010448 0.015471 0.023658 0.037019 0.058590 0.097380
2026-03-15 0.006839 0.010218 0.015303 0.023705 0.037627 0.060488 0.102391
2026-03-22 0.006579 0.009929 0.015027 0.023561 0.037907 0.061839 0.106508
2026-03-29 0.006360 0.009693 0.014825 0.023523 0.038356 0.063493 0.111267
2026-04-05 0.006183 0.009515 0.014705 0.023611 0.039018 0.065544 0.116882
2026-04-12 0.006002 0.009324 0.014554 0.023638 0.039571 0.067423 0.122291